Mitengo yemafuta yeWTI inoramba ichingotenderera madhora makumi mana nemashanu, asi shanduko ichangoburwa pakati pesimba rinokwevera zvinhu pasi iri pachena. Saudi Arabia yakawedzera kupa kumisika yeAsia mushure memusangano weOpec waratidza tarisiro yayo pamusoro pekuda kwemusika.
Hutongi hwaVaTrump hwakakwidza kudare repamusoro soro mushure mekunge humbowo hutsva hwaratidza kuti paive nematambudziko ekuverengera musarudzo zvisinei nekuchinja kwemasimba mushure mesarudzo dzeUS. Chirongwa cherubatsiro chehupfumi cheUS chedenda chiri kukurukurwa zvakare, uye musika uri kutarisira zvichabuda.
Denda repasi rose richiri kupararira. Pave paine nhau dzakanaka nedzakashata pamberi pekudzivirira, uye zvakazara, zuva rekutanga rave kusvika.
Kutengeswa kweChina munaNovember (mumashoko eDOLLAR) kwakakwira 21.1% kubva pagore rapfuura, zvichitarisirwa kukwira 9.5%, zvichienzaniswa ne11.4% kubva pagore rapfuura, uye kunze kwenyika kwakakwira 4.5% kubva pagore rapfuura, inotarisirwa kukwira 4.3% kubva gore rapfuura; Kuwedzera kwekutengesa kwakakwira rekodhi yemadhora 75.42 bhiriyoni, kubva pamadhora 58.44 bhiriyoni. Mukutaura kweyuan, kutengesa kunze kwenyika kwakasimuka 14.9 muzana, kubva pa7.6 muzana.
Kufanotaura kwemusika wemamwe makemikari:
1. Forecast: Huwandu hwemethanol mukutenderera kwechiteshi hwakawedzera zvakanyanya kupera kwesvondo rapfuura. Huwandu hwevagadziri munzvimbo dzekuchamhembe dzekugadzirwa kwakadzikira uye huwandu hwese hwekushanda hauchinje zvakanyanya. Kana pasina zvinhu zvakakura zvakanaka, zvinotarisirwa kuti methanol ichiri kunyanya kugadziriswa nekuvhunduka svondo rino.
2. Forecast: toluene, xylene mudzimba chirimwa chinotanga kuderera, kudiwa kwese hakuna simba. Port inventories inoramba ichidonha. Oiri mutengo kushanduka kwakasimba. Zvinotarisirwa svondo rino mudzimba toluene, xylene musika kuvhunduka kusimba zvishoma.
3. Forecast: chiyero chekushanda kwevagadziri vePVC chinovandudzwa, asi pre-order haisati yapera, uye misika inowanikwa nzvimbo yakawanda iduku. Kumaodzanyemba, nekuda kwekuchengetedzwa kwezvakatipoteredza uye zvimwe zvikonzero, kudiwa kwepasi kwakadzikira zvishoma. Kutengesera nzvimbo yakadzika kunetsana mitengo yakakwira asi inongoda kudzikamisa. Pakupera kwesvondo rapfuura, mari yemusika wemari yakaderera, misika inotarisirwa kuenderera mberi kwevhiki ino kushanduka kwakasimba kwakasimba, inofanirawo kuziva kuti chibvumirano cheJanuary ramangwana chichiri pangozi yekusagadzikana kukuru.
4. Forecast: Vhiki rapfuura, acrylic asidhi uye ester kupa kwakasimba uye ane chokuita mbishi zvinhu zvinokwira pasi mashoko akanaka kuramba kusimbisa. Parizvino, nzvimbo yekugovera ichiri yakasimba, vagadziri havangaderedze mutengo, vanongoda kuteedzera kudzika kwakadzika mamiriro akanaka. Acrylic acid uye ester inotarisirwa vhiki ino nzvimbo yemusika kuenderera mberi kwekushanda kwakasimba kwekupedzisa.
5. Forecast: Mitengo ye maleic anhydride yakadonha zvakanyanya uye nekukurumidza svondo rapfuura, ichiburitsa mamiriro e roller coaster. Nekuda kwekufungidzira kwekudzika kwakasimba kudiwa, maleic anhydride vagadziri vane ndiro yekuisa chisimbiso kuti isimuke chiito. Musangano uyu uri kutarisirwa kuenderera mberi svondo rino.
6, kumwe kutadza kwemidziyo yekune dzimwe nyika kuvharika, pamwe nerutsigiro rwakasimba rwemutengo, musika westyrene wakagamuchira kudzokororwa mukutanga kwesvondo. Nekudaro, zvikamu zvemumba mukugadzira, uye kunotevera kudiwa hakuna kusimba, zvinofungidzirwa kuti styrene musika unozoganhurwa munguva pfupi.
7. Kushaikwa kwekubatana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa, inofungidzirwa kuti musika weacetone uchave uine nzvimbo shoma yekukwira kwenguva pfupi.
8. Zvinofungidzirwa kuti musika weDOP unogona kudzika pasi munguva pfupi nekuda kwekuburitswa kwemutengo uye nekuderera kwekuda kwemvura.
9, mukana wemukana kana pasina chikuru kukurudzira kwakanaka, fungidzira kusimuka kwenguva pfupi kwemusika wephthalic anhydride kwakanyanya kuoma.
10. Zvichienderana nekushaya simba kwekupa uye kudiwa kwemamiriro ezvinhu, inofungidzirwa kuti misika yeMMA inogona kuchinja mune imwe nzvimbo yakamanikana munguva pfupi.
11. Tsigiro yemutengo wakasimba, asi kuwanikwa kwemukati kunotarisirwa kuwedzera. Inofungidzirwa kuti munguva pfupi, musika we phenol unogona kunyanya kubata nekuvhunduka.
12, periphery yakanaka, PTA nzvimbo yemusika kuvhunduka svondo rapfuura yakasimba. Nekudaro, nekuda kwezvisina kusimba zvakakosha, zvinofungidzirwa kuti musika wePTA uchaganhurwa munguva pfupi.
13, mutengo werutsigiro wakasimba, asi kudzika kwepasi kusunda basa rakajairika, inofungidzirwa kuti yakachena benzene musika munguva pfupi kana ichave yakasimba kubatanidzwa.
14. Rutivi rwekupa runopa imwe yakanaka, asi kushayikwa kwekubatana kunobudirira nezvinodiwa, zvinofungidzirwa kuti musika we tianjiao uchazununguswa zvakanyanya munguva pfupi, uchiteerera kutungamirwa kwezvinhu zveperipheral.
Svondo rapfuura, misika yemumba acetic acid yakaramba ichikwira. Parizvino, fekitori yatove yakasimba mukutakura, yakasanganiswa nekuvharwa kusingatarisirwi kweBP chirimwa muNanjing, rutivi rwekugovera rwunowedzerwa. Zvisinei, nekuda kwekukurumidza kukwira kwemutengo wemusika uye kushorwa kwakasimba muzasi, zvinotarisirwa kuti misika inogona kuderera vhiki ino kana ichienzaniswa nevhiki yapfuura.
16. Domestic butanone market yakakwira zvakanyanya svondo rapfuura. Iyo fekitori haina kudzvanywa, uye yakadzika yekubvunza mamiriro ekuvandudza, nhanho mumusika uye yepakati kutenga, inotungamirwa nemhepo yekutenga, zvinotarisirwa kuti musika uchiri kukwira svondo rino.
17, svondo rapfuura, iyo yemba ethylene glycol musika kuvhunduka kwakasimba. Volatility kubatanidzwa kwemitengo yemafuta epasi rose; Parizvino, kuenderera mberi kwechiteshi kune chiteshi kushoma; Kunyange zvazvo mamwe mayuniti ethylene glycol akatangazve, pakanga pachine mamwe mayuniti achigadziriswa uye kuderedzwa kwakashata, uye kuwedzera kwekupa kwaive kushoma pane zvaitarisirwa. Iyo yakadzika polyester yekupedzisira inotanga kuchengetedza yakakwirira, yakagadzikana yekuda kuita. Zvinotarisirwa kuti masikati glycol interval consolidation inogona kunge yakasimba.
18, svondo rapfuura, iyo yemba yediethylene glycol musika kushata callback. Volatility kubatanidzwa kwemitengo yemafuta epasi rose; Parizvino, kutangisa kwekuisirwa kwedzimba kunoramba kwakadzikira, kudzokororwa kwehuwandu hwechiteshi-kune-chikepe kushoma, uye mamiriro ekunze asina kunaka anokanganisa kuenderera kuderera kweiyo chiteshi chengarava, saka iyo yepasi resin indasitiri inoda kupera simba. Market shock consolidation inotarisirwa kuwedzera svondo rino.
19. Kusimba kubatanidzwa kwemitengo yemafuta epasi rose; Ramangwana repamusoro rinosimudzira nzvimbo; Petrochemical inventory yakawedzera kana ichienzaniswa nenguva yapfuura; Kudzika kwakadzika mhirizhonga, inongoda kutenga; Mabhizinesi emudzimba anoshanda mwero wakakwira, dhizaini yekugovera ichiri mukati. Kupfupisa, zvinotarisirwa kuti svondo rino svondo rino repamba PE musika volatility consolidation mukana.
20. Kusimba kubatanidzwa kwemitengo yemafuta epasi rose; Ramangwana rakasimuka; Petrochemical destocking rate yakaderera; Kudzika kunoda zvechinyakare off-mwaka uchauya, unongoda kutora zvinhu; Kurasikirwa kwechikwata chekuchengetedza kunoshandura zvishoma. Kupedzisa, zvinotarisirwa kuti musika wePP svondo rino wakatetepa kusanganisa mukana.