Ko mamiriro emusika wefetereza yakasanganiswa achavandudzwa here muna 2024? Musika uchachinja-chinja here? Inotevera ongororo yakadzama yemafambiro emangwana efetereza yakasanganiswa kubva pamaonero enzvimbo huru, mutemo, maitiro ekupa nekudiwa, mutengo nepurofiti, uye ongororo yemamiriro emakwikwi eindasitiri.

1. Kuvandudzwa kwehupfumi hwenyika kuri kunonoka, uye hupfumi hweChina hunotarisana nemikana nematambudziko

Zvichikonzerwa nenjodzi dzakawanda dzakadai sekuzvitonga kwega kwega, zvematongerwo enyika, kusawirirana kwemauto, kukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu, chikwereti chepasi rose uye kugadziriswa kwecheni yemaindasitiri, kukura kwekutengeserana kwenyika nekudyara kwadzikira zvakanyanya, uye kuvandudzwa kwehupfumi hwepasi rose muna 2024 kuri kunonoka uye kusina kuenzana, uye kusava nechokwadi kuri kuwedzera zvakanyanya.

Panguva imwe chete, hupfumi hweChina huchasangana nemikana nematambudziko akawanda. Mukana mukuru uri mukusimudzirwa kunoramba kuripo kwe "zvivakwa zvitsva" uye nzira dze "kutenderera kaviri". Mitemo miviri iyi ichasimudzira zvakasimba kusimudzira maindasitiri emuno uye kuwedzera simba remukati rehupfumi. Panguva imwe chete, maitiro epasi rose ekudzivirira kutengeserana achiri kuenderera mberi, izvo zvinounza kumanikidzwa kukuru kune zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika neChina.

Kubva pamaonero efungidziro yezvakatipoteredza, mukana wekuti hupfumi hwepasi rose hudzikire mugore rinouya wakakura, uye zvinhu zvinogona kudzikira zvishoma, asi zvichiri kudiwa kufunga nezvekusava nechokwadi kunounzwa nekusawirirana kwezvematongerwo enyika mumusika. Nzvimbo iri nani yemuno inotarisirwa kubatsira kudzoka kwemitengo yefetereza yemuno kune kuchinja-chinja kwenzvimbo.

2, zviwanikwa zvefetereza zvine hunhu hwakasimba, uye mitemo inotungamira kukura kweindasitiri

Bazi rezvekurima nemabasa ekumaruwa rakaburitsa chiziviso che "Action Plan for Reduction chemical fetereza panosvika 2025", chichida kuti panosvika 2025, kushandiswa kwefetereza yemakemikari yekurima munyika yose kunofanira kudzikira zvakadzikama uye zvakagadzikana. Kushanda kwacho ndekwekuti: panosvika 2025, chikamu chenzvimbo yekushandisa fetereza yeorganic chichawedzera neanopfuura 5 muzana, huwandu hwekuongororwa kwevhu uye tekinoroji yekufetereza yefomula yezvirimwa zvikuru munyika huchave hwakagadzikana paanopfuura 90%, uye huwandu hwekushandiswa kwefetereza yezvirimwa zvitatu zvikuru zvekudya munyika huchasvika 43%. Panguva imwe chete, zvichienderana ne "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" Ideas yekusimudzira phosphate Fertilizer Industry Association, indasitiri yefetereza yecompound inoramba ichitora budiriro yegreen, shanduko nekusimudzira, kuvandudzwa kwemhando uye kushanda zvakanaka sechinangwa chose, uye huwandu hwecompound huchawedzerwa.

Pasi penyaya ye "kudzora simba kaviri", "chiyero chekabhoni mbiri", kuchengetedzeka kwechikafu, uye "kuwanikwa kwakagadzikana uye mutengo", kubva pamaonero ekufambira mberi kweindasitiri, ramangwana refetereza yakasanganiswa rinofanira kuramba richivandudza maitiro uye kuvandudza maitiro ekugadzira kuchengetedza simba nekuderedza kusvibiswa; Panyaya yemhando dzakasiyana-siyana, zvakakosha kugadzira fetereza yepamusoro inosangana nezvinodiwa zvekurima kwakanaka; Mukushandiswa, kunofanira kutariswa pakuvandudza mwero wekushandiswa kwefetereza.

3. Pachava nedambudziko mukuita kuti zvinhu zviwanikwe uye zvidikanwe

Kubva pakuona kwehurongwa nekuisa kuri kuvakwa, kumhanya kwekugadzirwa kwenyika kwemakambani makuru hakuna kumira, uye nzira yekubatanidza vertical ine kukosha kukuru kwekuwedzera purofiti yemakambani ecompound fetiraiza, nekuti maitiro ekubatanidza maindasitiri, kunyanya makambani ane zviwanikwa zvakanaka uye mashandiro makuru achaita basa rakakosha. Zvisinei, makambani ane zviwanikwa zvidiki, zvinodhura zvakanyanya uye zvisina zviwanikwa achasangana nemhedzisiro yakakura. Zvichienderana nehuwandu husina kukwana, kugona kwekugadzira kwakarongwa kuri kuvakwa muna 2024 imamiriyoni 4.3 ematani, uye kuburitswa kwesimba idzva rekugadzira ndeimwe mhedzisiro pamamiriro aripo emusika wefetiraiza yecompound, kugona kwekugadzira kwakawandisa, uye kukwikwidzana kwemitengo kwakaoma kudzivirira kwenguva pfupi, zvichigadzira kumanikidzwa pamitengo.

4. Mutengo wezvinhu zvisina kugadzirwa

Urea: Kubva kudivi rekupa muna 2024, kugadzirwa kweurea kucharamba kuchikura, uye kubva kudivi rekuda, maindasitiri nekurima zvicharatidza tarisiro yekukura, asi zvichibva pane zvakasara muzvinhu zviri mudura pakupera kwa2023, kuwanikwa kwemuno nekudiwa kwacho muna 2024 kana kuratidza mafambiro ekurerutsira zvishoma nezvishoma, uye shanduko yehuwandu hwekutengesa kunze kwenyika gore rinouya icharamba ichikanganisa mafambiro emusika. Musika weurea muna 2024 unoramba uchichinja-chinja zvakanyanya, paine mukana mukuru wekuti pakati pemutengo wegravity padzike kubva muna 2023.

Fetereza yephosphate: Muna 2024, mutengo we mono ammonium phosphate munyika waderera. Kunyangwe kutengesa kunze kwenyika kwakaganhurirwa mukota yekutanga, kudiwa kwechirimo kwemunyika nemitengo yezvinhu zvisina kugadzirwa zvichiri kutsigirwa nemitengo yakakwira, mutengo uchachinja-chinja zvakanyanya pa2850-2950 yuan/tani; Munguva yekunze kwekota yechipiri, fetereza yezhizha inonyanya kuve nenitrogen yakawandisa, kudiwa kwephosphorus kwakaganhurirwa, uye mutengo we mono-ammonium phosphate uchaderera zvishoma nezvishoma nekuda kwekuderera kwemitengo yezvinhu zvisina kugadzirwa; Mukota yechitatu neyechina yemwaka wekutengesa kwematsutso, kudiwa kwe phosphate yakawandisa ye phosphorus yakakura, uye kudiwa kwenyika dzese kuri kusimudzirwa, pamwe nekuteverwa kwekudiwa kwekuchengetwa kwechando, uye phosphate yezvinhu zvisina kugadzirwa yekutsigira mitengo yakaderera, mutengo we mono-ammonium phosphate uchadzoka.

Potassium Fetereza: Muna 2024, mitengo yemusika wepotash yemuno ichachinja zvichienderana nemwaka wemusika usati wasvika padanho repamusoro, zvichikonzerwa nekudiwa kwakasimba kwemusika wechirimo, mutengo wemusika wepotassium chloride nepotassium sulfate ucharamba uchikwira, uye chibvumirano cha2023 chinopera musi wa31 Zvita, 2023, uye chichatarisana nemamiriro ekutaurirana echibvumirano chikuru cha2024. Zvingangoita kuti hurukuro dzitange mukota yekutanga. Mushure mekupera kwemusika wechirimo, musika wepotash yemuno uchapinda mutsika yakareruka, kunyangwe kuchine kudiwa kwemisika yezhizha neyematsutso muchikamu chekupedzisira, asi potash yakaganhurirwa.

Tichifunga nezvemafambiro ezvinhu zvitatu zvikuru zvataurwa pamusoro apa muna 2024, pane mukana mukuru wekuti mutengo wegore negore wa2023 uchadzikira, uye mutengo wefetereza yakasanganiswa uchadzikira, zvichikanganisa maitiro emitengo yefetereza yakasanganiswa.

5. Kudiwa kwemvura iri pasi

Parizvino, maererano nezvirimwa zvikuru zviri pasi pemvura, icharamba ichida kuti kugona kwayo kugadzira kwakakwana kuwedzere zvishoma nezvishoma muna 2024, uye goho rayo richaramba riri pamusoro pe1.3 trillion catties, zvichiita kuti zviyo zvikwanise kuzviriritira uye chikafu chive chakachengeteka. Mukati mehurongwa hwekuchengetedza chikafu, kudiwa kwekurima kuchagadzikana uye kuchavandudzwa, zvichipa rutsigiro rwakanaka kudivi rekudiwa kwefetereza yakasanganiswa. Pamusoro pezvo, tichifunga nezvekuvandudzwa kwekurima kwakasvibira, mutsauko wemitengo pakati pefetereza itsva nefetereza yakajairwa unotarisirwa kudzikira zvakanyanya, uye chikamu chefetereza yakajairwa chichaderedzwa, asi zvinotora nguva kuti chishanduke. Nokudaro, zvinotarisirwa kuti kudiwa uye kushandiswa kwefetereza yakasanganiswa hazvizochinji zvakanyanya muna 2024.

6. Maonero emutengo wemusika

Zvichibva pakuongorora zvinhu zviri pamusoro apa, kunyangwe kuwanikwa kwezvinhu uye kudiwa kwacho kwavandudzika, kumanikidzwa kwakanyanya kuchiripo, uye mutengo wezvinhu zvinogona kuderedzwa, saka musika wefetereza yakasanganiswa unotarisirwa kudzoka zvine musoro muna 2024, asi panguva imwe chete, musika wakaderedzwa zvishoma nezvishoma uchiripo, uye kukanganisa kwemitemo kunofanirwa kutariswa. Kune mabhizinesi, kungave kuri kugadzirira zvinhu zvisina kugadzirwa mwaka usati wasvika, kugona kwekugadzira zvinhu nekukurumidza kwemwaka wepamusoro, mashandiro emhando, nezvimwewo, ari kutarisana nemuedzo.