MunaGunyana 2023, oiri isina kuchena yakaramba yakakwira uye isingachinji, zvinhu zvinorema zvekunatsa zvakange zvakajairika, uye zvakakanganiswa nemafuta asina kuchena kunze kwenyika uye kushandisa quotas, kuvharika kwenguva pfupi kana kushanda kwakashata kwekumisikidza kwakasara, uye kudiwa kwezvinhu zvepakati kwakasimuka. Mafuta emafuta emudzimba vhoriyamu yemafuta munaGunyana yakaramba ichidzikira zvishoma kubva Nyamavhuvhu. MunaGunyana, huwandu hwemafuta emafuta ekunatsa mudzimba hwaive matani 1,021,300, pasi 2.19% pamwedzi-pa-mwedzi uye kumusoro 11.54% gore pagore. Kutengeswa kwemafuta emafuta emumba kubva muna Ndira kusvika Gunyana 2023 aive 9,057,300 matani, kuwedzera kwe2,468,100 matani, kana 37.46%, zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana gore rapfuura.

Mafuta emafuta ekutengesa vhoriyamu muShandong aive 495,100 matani, pasi 24.35% kubva kukota yapfuura. Mwedzi uno, huwandu hwemafuta emafuta mudunhu reShandong hwakadonha zvakanyanya kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Iyo chaiyo ongororo yakaita seiyi: Panyaya yemusika we slurry, iyo yekunatsa pasi peChina Chemical Group yakaronga vhoriyamu, iyo Xinyue catalytic unit yakashanda zvakajairika, uye Luqing slurry yakaburitswa kazhinji. Kunyangwe kutanga kwekuita kwevanonatsa kwega kwadzikira, huwandu hwese hwezvinhu hwemafuta slurry hwawedzera zvichienzaniswa nemwedzi wapfuura; Panyaya yezvakasaririra, chirimwa cheQicheng chakatangazve kugadzirwa zvakatevedzana, Junsheng chirimwa chakatangazve kugadzirwa muhafu yekupedzisira yegore mushure mekumiswa kwekugadzirisa, kugadzirwa kweAoxing kwakamisa kutengesa kunze kwenyika kwakaderera, Luqing petrochemical residuum yakamisawo kutengesa kunze kwenyika, zvakazara, Shandong pasi slag yemafuta vhoriyamu. yakaderera zvakanyanya; Panyaya yemafuta ewakisi, anorambidzwa nemitengo yakakwira, Luqing, Aoxing uye mamwe mafuta ewakisi akamiswa kuburitswa kwekunze, nepo kuwanikwa kwewakisi muhafu yechipiri yemwedzi kwakaoma uye mutengo wakakwira, Changyi, Shengxing nemamwe wakisi mapfupi- kuburitswa kwekunze, huwandu hwewakisi hwakaderera zvakanyanya kubva mwedzi wapfuura.

Huwandu hwemafuta emafuta muEast China hwaive 37,700 matani, pasi 36.75% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Mwedzi uno, huwandu hwemafuta slurry mumusika weEast China hauna kugadzikana, mutengo wepasi-sarufa residuum unofambiswa nemafuta asina kuchena, uye nzira yekushandisa yeyakaderera-sarufa residuum muEast China inonyanya kurerekera kune kutungamira ngarava. -mafuta, ngarava-mafuta ekusanganisa mari iri pasi pekumanikidzwa, uye mirairo yepasi inochenjerera, zvichiita kuti kuderera kukuru kwehuwandu hwezvinhu zvakasara.

Huwandu hwemafuta emafuta muNortheast China hwaive 265,400 matani, kumusoro 114.03% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Pakati nepakati pechikamu chemwedzi uno, yakasara oiri kuNortheast China ine yakakura arbitrage range nemimwe misika, uye kutumira kwakawedzera zvakanyanya. Uye iyo huru yekuchenesa Haoye yakasara oiri newakisi inotengeswa kunze yakagadzikana yakabuda, musika wese wemafuta emafuta echigadzirwa vhoriyamu yakaratidza kukwira kwakanyanya.

Huwandu hwemafuta emafuta muNorth China hwaive 147,600 matani, kumusoro 0.41% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Mwedzi uno, mafuta akasara, oiri yewakisi uye slurry yemafuta ekuchenesa kuNorth China zvakange zvakagadzikana, uye huwandu hwezvinhu hazvina kushanduka zvakanyanya kubva pamwedzi wapfuura.

Huwandu hwemafuta emafuta muNorthwest China hwaive 17,200 matani, kumusoro 13.16% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. MunaGunyana, iyo huru yekuchenesa yekunze mumusika wekuchamhembe kwakadziva kumadokero yakashandurwa kuita yakaderera-sarufa yakasara oiri, uye huwandu hwezvinhu hwakadzikira, asi iyo yakawedzera mafuta slurry kutakura yaive nani, uye huwandu hwese hwezvinhu hwakakwira kubva pamwedzi wapfuura.

Huwandu hwemafuta emafuta kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero kweChina hwaive 59,000 matani, kumusoro 31.11% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Mwedzi uno, Shandong, North China, East China nedzimwe nzvimbo dzakaderera-sarufa zvakasara zvinongoda kutsigira, mutengo wakakwira, kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero kwakadzikira-sarufa zvakasara nekuwedzera kwakaderera kupfuura nharaunda yekumabvazuva, iyo arbitrage range yakawedzera, the huwandu hwezvinhu hwakawedzera zvakanyanya mwedzi wapfuura.

MunaGunyana, chikamu chechigadzirwa chega chega muhuwandu hwemafuta emafuta epamba hachina kushanduka zvakanyanya, huwandu hwemafuta emafuta newakisi hwakasara hwakadzikira zvishoma, uye huwandu hwemafuta emafuta hwakawedzera zvakanyanya. MunaGunyana, huwandu hwemafuta akasara hwaive matani 664,100, pasi ne2.85% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Oiri yasara inosvika 65% yehuwandu hwemafuta emafuta emumba, yakaderera nechikamu chimwe kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Nzvimbo huru yekukura kwemafuta akasara mwedzi uno iri kuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva, iyo huru yekunatsa Haoye coking unit isati yagadzikana kuburitswa kwemafuta akasara, uye Northeast neNorth China, Shandong arbitrage hwindo yakagadzikana, nhamba huru yezvibvumirano zvinobuda, kuwedzera. yeNortheast yakasara mafuta iri pachena. Munguva imwecheteyo, Shandong nharaunda Qicheng yakajairika uye vacuum gadziriso, Luqing petrochemical yakasara yakamiswa kubuda kunze uye zvimwe zvinokanganisa, yakasara yemafuta emidziyo huwandu hwakaderera zvakanyanya, East China, North China, Maodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero nedzimwe nzvimbo dzakagadzikana, kusimuka uye kudonha, a Maonero akazara emafuta akasara zvishoma akadonha mwedzi wapfuura. MunaSeptember, huwandu hwekutengeserana hwemafuta ewakisi hwakanga huri 258,400 tani, pasi 5.93% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura; Huwandu hwemafuta emafuta ewakisi hwakaita 25% yehuwandu hwemafuta emafuta emumba, zvichidzika nechikamu chimwe kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Musika mukuru wemafuta wewakisi uchiri dunhu reShandong uye dunhu rekuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva, dunhu reShandong nekuda kwemitengo yakakwira yemafuta asina kuchena, mamwe mafinefiri anoganhurirwa nemutengo kumisa kugadzirwa kwewakisi, zvimwe zvinonatsa mushure mekupedzwa kwekugadzirisa kwechipiri michina, huwandu hwezvinhu zvinofemerwa. wadzikirawo zvakanyanya, huwandu hwenamo hwadzikira zvakanyanya mwedzi nemwedzi, ukuwo nzvimbo huru yekuchenesa kuNortheast China Haoye wax yakatsiga yakafemerwa, huwandu hwenamo hwakawedzera zvakanyanya. Kusimuka nekudonha kunogadzirisa kudzikira kwemafuta ewakisi mwedzi pamwedzi. MunaSeptember, huwandu hwehuwandu hwemafuta slurry hwaive 98,800 matani, kusvika 12,900 matani kana 15.02% kubva pamwedzi wapfuura; Oil slurry commodity volume yaisvika gumi kubva muzana yehuwandu hwemafuta emafuta emumba, yakakwira nezvikamu zviviri kubva muzana kubva pamwedzi wapfuura. Nzvimbo huru inokwira yeoiri slurry idunhu reShandong, kugadzirwa kwemafuta slurry muXinyue, Qicheng, Luqing uye kumwe kucheneswa kwadzokera kune zvakajairika, uye huwandu hwekutengesa hwemafuta slurry hwakakwira zvakanyanya kana zvichienzaniswa nemwedzi wapfuura.

Future market forecast:

Muna Gumiguru, kutanga uye kumira kwemidziyo mumusika weShandong kwakadzikira, uye kugadzira uye kutengesa kwakaramba kwakagadzikana; Mushure mekunge chikamu chechipiri chekugadzirisa chemuchina mukuru wekuchenesa muNortheast China chavhurwa, huwandu hwemafuta asara hunodzikiswa, uye chirongwa chemafuta ewakisi chichiri kuchengetedzwa. Uye zvakare, mafuta asina kuchena akakwira kushanduka, asi batch nyowani yemafuta asina kuomeswa ekugadzirisa quotas kana ichave yakaganhurwa, kunetsa kwemafuta emumba kunozorerutswa, zvakazara, muna Gumiguru emafuta emumba emafuta emidziyo vhoriyamu kuderera kwekuchinja, kushanduka kunosvika 900-950,000. matani.