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Inopfuura hafu yaZvita yanga iri, musika wepamba monoammonium phosphate uchiri kuramba uchishanda, rutivi rwekuda kwese rwuri kuramba rusina simba, hurongwa hutsva hahuna kukwana kutevera, mirairo ichapihwa iri kuramba ichiderera, kudzvanywa kwekutengesa kwevamwe. mafekitari ari kukwira zvishoma nezvishoma, mutengo wakasviba kuti ugamuchire mirairo mitsva, iyo yekutengeserana inotarisa zvishoma nezvishoma ichidzika pasi, Central China 55 poda fekitari padyo ne3350 yuan/tani, 58 poda fekitori 3600-3650 yuan/tani pedyo, fekitari haina itsva. mutengo, ramba uchiita izvo zvakafanogamuchirwa mirairo. Kuderera kunogona kugara kwenguva yakareba sei? Musika unoramba wakamirira kuona.

Upstream raw materials:

Phosphate rock: Munguva pfupi yapfuura, phosphate rock musika inoramba yakakwira uye yakagadzikana, uye mutengo wepakati we30% giredhi phosphate rock mudunhu reGuizhou unoreva 980-1050 yuan / toni, uye mutengo wekutengesa wakanyanya kutenderedza 1000 yuan / tani; Mutengo we28% giredhi rechikepe ndiro muYichang nzvimbo yeHubei Province iri pedyo ne1000 yuan/ton, uye mutengo wekutengesa we25% giredhi yakakwira magnesium ship plate iri pamusoro pe850 yuan/ton; Sichuan Mabian nharaunda 25% giredhi phosphate rock County mutengo wekutengesa 650-750 yuan/ton kana zvakadaro. Mutengo we28% giredhi mota ndiro muYunnan ingangoita 850-950 yuan/ton. Mafekitori epasi anongogamuchira mutengo mutsva, kugadziridzwa kwemutengo kwapfuura kunoitwa, uye ikozvino mbishi yezvigadzirwa zvemabhizinesi efosifata inopfuura mwedzi.

Sarufa: Kubva muna Zvita 15, China chiteshi chengarava 2,662,500 matani sarufa, Yangtze River particles self-reference mutengo we925 yuan/ton. Ichangoburwa dhora reUS rekuti uchengetedze iyo yese inoderera maitiro, Puguang Wanzhou mitengo yakaderera, yekunatsa isati yasvika uye mushure mekutengesa maviri ekutengesa kuita kwakasiyana, maitiro ekuchenjerera evatengesi haana kunyangarika, uye maonero emutengesi akasiyana, musika unoshanduka zvishoma.

Synthetic ammonia: ichangoburwa ammonia musika munzvimbo huru dzekugadzira yakasanganiswa, mhepo yekugovera uye kudiwa ichiri yakajairika, musika weShandong wadzokera kune hungwaru mushure mekukwira kwakanyanya, kupihwa uye kudiwa kudzvanywa pakati peChina neEast China kuchiri. ipapo, mamiriro ekupa akawandisa, musika wefetereza wakawanda uye kudzikiswa kwazvino mudunhu rekumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero kune mutengo wakaderera svondo rino, musika unonyanya kubatanidzwa nekutakura.

Supply side:

Kubva muna Zvita 15, kugadzirwa kwemono-ammonium phosphate yaive 230,400 matani, kudzikira kwe15,200 matani kubva pamwedzi wapfuura, uye kuwedzera kwe43,600 matani gore-pagore (iyo iri pamusoro kugadzirwa haisanganisi chidimbu kugadzirwa kwediamoni uye. mutsara wekugadzira fetireza yakasanganiswa). Vhiki rino, iyo indasitiri simba rekushandisa mwero we59,27%, 0.28% yakakwira kupfuura svondo rapfuura, 4.5 muzana inokwirisa kupfuura gore rapfuura, Hubei Zhongfu yakagadzira zvigadzirwa; Hubei Fengli mudziyo uri kumiswa. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, nhamba shoma yezvishandiso zvakamiswa zvakatangazve kushanda zvakajairika, asi kune zvakare mafekitori ekudzikisa kugadzirwa, shanduko yese idiki, inotarisirwa kuchengetedza huwandu hudiki hwekushandisa simba muindasitiri yeammonium phosphate munguva pfupi.

Demand side:

Nguva pfupi yadarika, kudiwa kwezvinhu zvemabhizinesi ekudzika kwefetereza hakuna kusimba kutevedzera, uye pfungwa dzekutenga dzinoramba dzakamirira nekuona. Nekuda kwekukanganisika kwechando kune dzimwe nzvimbo, kutakurwa kwefetereza yekomboni kwadzikira zvishoma, asi makambani mazhinji ane mirairo inofanirwa kupihwa, uye huwandu hwese hwekugadzira indasitiri yefetereza ichiri kuwedzera. Parizvino, huwandu hwekushandiswa kwehuwandu hweindasitiri yefetereza yepasi inosvika 47.63%, kuwedzera kwe1.65% zvichienzaniswa nesvondo rapfuura, kunyangwe kutanga kwechirimwa kuri kuramba kuchiwedzera, asi kunyanya kugadzira nitrogen fetereza yakakwira, kushandiswa kwephosphorus ndiko. zvishoma, uye mazhinji emafekitori makuru uye mafekitori ekuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva apedza zvimwe zvigadzirwa mukutanga kwekuchengetedza, mutengo uchangoburwa wezvigadzirwa hauna kugadzikana, kufarira kwekutenga hakuna kukwirira. Rhythm yemirairo mitsva yemonoammonium phosphate inononoka.

Muchidimbu, kumusoro kwemvura mbishi phosphate rock supply tight price situation yakaoma kuchinja, sulfur in phosphate fertilizer stable operation kuchengetedza nhete yemativi oscillation, ammonia yakagadzikana kugadzirisa, iyo yose mutengo wekuchinja kuduku. Kunyangwe iyo yekugovera yemono-ammonium phosphate isati yanyatso kugadziridzwa panguva ino, iyo yekuda rutivi inoramba ichishungurudzika, uye inventory pressure inogona kukonzera kudzikira. Iko kudiwa kwezvinhu zvakasvibirira zvekuwedzera kwemabhizinesi ekudzika kwefetereza kuchiripo, asi mukana wekutevera wakakura haugone. Nokudaro, simba rekutsigira mari richiripo, kugovera kuchachinja maererano nezvinodiwa, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti mono-ammonium phosphate misika icharamba isina simba uye zvishoma nezvishoma ichidzika pasi munguva pfupi.


Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-19-2023