Mafuta asina kuchena akavharwa nehusiku humwe chete, mitengo yemafuta epeturu nedhiziri yemuno yakatangazve kukwira, masikati mune dzimwe nzvimbo, chikamu chikuru chemafuta epeturu nedhiziri chine shanduko mbiri kana nhatu dzekuti chikwire, uye mafuta epeturu akatanga kuva nehurongwa hushoma hwekutengesa. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, kudiwa kwemafuta epeturu kwave kuchitsigirwa nekuwedzera kwenhamba yekufamba kwezhizha nemafuta anotonhodza mhepo, asi mafuta epeturu akaramba achinaya kuNorth nekuSouth, uye kudiwa kwacho hakuna kuwedzera zvakanyanya.

Sekureva kweLongzhong data monitoring, kubva pamatafura maviri ari pamusoro apa, pakutanga kwaNyamavhuvhu gore rino, mitengo yepeturu nedhiziri yemuno yakakwira kubva pakutanga kwaChikunguru, peturu yakakwira pakati pe45-367 yuan/tani, Shandong ine kuwedzera kudiki; Kuwedzera kwedhiziri munzvimbo dzakasiyana-siyana i713-946 yuan/tani, uye kuwedzera kwacho kwakakura munzvimbo dzese, uye kuwedzera kwedhiziri kwakakura kupfuura kwepeturu.

Mushure mekusundidzirana kakawanda, zvikonzero chaizvo zvinotevera:

1. Kukwira kwemitengo yemafuta asina kuchekwa pasi rose

Kubva pakutanga kwaChikunguru kusvika kutanga kwaNyamavhuvhu, Saudi Arabia neRussia dzakaburitsa kudzikiswa kwekugadzirwa, uye huwandu hwemafuta anoshandiswa muUnited States neAsia hunotarisirwa kuva nani, uye kudzikira kwemafuta ekutengeserana muUnited States kunotsigirwa nemashoko akanaka, uye mitengo yemafuta epasi rose yave ichikwira. Kubva musi wa3 Nyamavhuvhu, Brent yakavharwa pa$85.14 / BBL, yakakwira ne$10.49 / BBL kana 14.05% kubva pakutanga kwaChikunguru.

2. Purofiti yekutengeswa kwepeturu nedhiziri yemuno yakakwira

Sekureva kweLongzhong data monitoring, tichitora semuenzaniso wechiteshi cheSouth China, kubva pakati kusvika pakupera kwaChikumi gore rino, hwindo rekutengesa mafuta nedhiziri kunze kwenyika rakavhurwa rimwe mushure mekuwana. Kubva musi wa3 Nyamavhuvhu, purofiti yemafuta akatengeswa kuSingapore neChina yaive 183 yuan/tani, yakakwira ne322.48% kubva pakati paChikumi; purofiti yemafuta akatengeswa kunze kwenyika yaive 708 yuan/tani, yakakwira ne319.08% kubva pakati paChikumi.

Nekuwedzera kwepurofiti yemuno yemafuta epeturu nedhiziri, musika unotarisirwa kutumira kunze kwenyika zvimwe zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, uye zvimwe zvezvinhu zvikuru muna Chikunguru zvichavhurwa, kutanga kwaChikunguru, zvimwe zvezvinhu zvikuru kuEast China mitengo yemafuta 92# 8380 yuan/ton, kusvika Nyamavhuvhu 3, mutengo wakakwira kusvika 8700 yuan/ton, kuwedzera kwe320 yuan/ton kana 3.82%; Mutengo wedhiziri unotengeswa kunze kwenyika wakakwira kubva pa6,860 yuan/ton kusvika pa7,750 yuan/ton, kuwedzera kwe890 yuan/ton kana 12.97%. Sezvo zvikamu zvikuru zvakatanga kuunganidza utsi nedhiziri, vamwe vatengesi vakatevera, mutengo wepamwe chete wezvikepe zvepeturu nedhiziri wakakwira, uye kunyange mutengo wemafuta asina kucheneswa wakadzikira mune dzimwe nguva, asi mutengo wepeturu nedhiziri wakakwira pachinzvimbo chekudzikira.

3, vatengesi vemusika vanoteerera zvikumbiro zvekutengesa kunze kwenyika

Kusvika pari zvino, Bazi rezvekutengeserana reChina rakaburitsa mabheti maviri ezviyero zvekutengesa mafuta akacheneswa gore rino, zvinosvika matani mamiriyoni 27.99. Kubva muna Ndira kusvika Chikumi, huwandu hwezvinhu zvakacheneswa kunze kwenyika muChina hwaive matani mamiriyoni 20.3883. Kana zvigadzirwa zvemafuta akacheneswa zvakapinzwa kunze kwenyika zvichitarisirwa nevekunze kwenyika zvikabviswa, huwandu chaihwo hwezvinhu zvakacheneswa kunze kwenyika hwaive matani mamiriyoni 20.2729, chiyero chekupedza quota yekuburitsa kunze kwenyika chaive 72.43%, uye paive nematani 7.717,100 ezviyero zvekuburitsa kunze kwenyika zvaifanira kupedzwa. Sekureva kweruzivo rwakawanikwa kubva kuLongzhong kubva kumusika, huwandu hwakarongwa hwezvinhu zvakacheneswa zvemafuta akacheneswa muChina muna Chikunguru naNyamavhuvhu i7.02 miriyoni matani, kana huwandu uhu huchigona kutengeswa kunze kwenyika, huwandu hwezvinhu zvakacheneswa zvemafuta akacheneswa muChina muna Ndira naNyamavhuvhu i97.88%, uye huwandu hwemabheti maviri hwave hwapera. Parizvino, kutengeswa kwepeturu nedhiziri munyika kuri kuita purofiti, chikamu chechitatu chezviyero zvekutengesa kunze kwenyika chinotarisirwa kuburitswa pakati pemwedzi uno, hazvirambidze mukana wekuti mamwe masangano anotumira kunze kwenyika awedzere kutengesa peturu nedhiziri.

4, kugona kwekuchengetedza zvinhu zvemumba kwaderera, uye kuwanikwa kwezvinhu kwawedzera, asi kukanganisa kwekupa zvinhu nekudiwa kwazvo pamusika kwaderera.

Muna Nyamavhuvhu, chiyero chikuru chekuchengetedza firita muChina chakaramba chichidzikira, zvichienderana nehuwandu hwemashoko eLongzhong, muna Nyamavhuvhu chete Daqing refinery nemakemikari neLanzhou Petrochemical kugadzirisa firita mbiri huru, zvinosanganisira kugona kwekuchengetedza kana matani 700,000, pasi paChikunguru matani 1.4 miriyoni, kudzikira kwe66%. Zvichienderana nefungidziro yedata, goho rese remafuta efirita mufirita huru muna Nyamavhuvhu rinotarisirwa kukwira kusvika 61.3%, kukwira ne0.75% kubva mumwedzi wapfuura. Chiyero chakaramba chichidzokera kumashure kusvika pa1.02. Goho remafuta epeturu nejet rakawedzera kwemwedzi mishanu yakatevedzana, uye goho remafuta edhiziri rakadzikira kwemwedzi mitatu yakatevedzana. Saka, zvinotarisirwa kuti goho rakarongwa remhepo, dhiziri nemarasha mufirita huru muna Nyamavhuvhu rive matani mamiriyoni 11.02, matani mamiriyoni 11.27 uye matani mamiriyoni 5.01, zvichiteerana, izvo zviri +4.39%, -0.68% uye +7.92%.

Muna Nyamavhuvhu, kugona kwekugadzirisa makambani ekuchenesa akazvimiririra hakuna kuchinja zvakanyanya, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti kuchasanganisira matani mamiriyoni 2.27 ekugadzirisa, kuwedzera kwematani zviuru makumi mashanu kubva muna Chikunguru, kuwedzera kwe2.25%. Zvikuru nekuti makambani ekuchenesa akagadziriswazve muna Chikunguru, akadai seXintai Petrochemical, Yatong Petrochemical, Panjin Haoye nedzimwe nzvimbo dzekuchenesa, uye Lanqiao Petrochemical, Wudi Xinyue, Dalian Jinyuan, Xinhai Shihua, nezvimwewo zvichavhurwa imwe mushure meimwe kutanga kwaNyamavhuvhu, izvo zvichaderedza kugona kweBaolai Petrochemical plant muna Nyamavhuvhu. Pakazara, kugadzirwa kwemafuta akacheneswa emumba kunotarisirwa kuwedzera muna Nyamavhuvhu, pakati pazvo, kugadzirwa kwepeturu kwakawedzera mwedzi nemwedzi, uye kugadzirwa kwedhiziri hakutarisirwi kuchinja zvakanyanya.

Pamwe chete, mitengo yepeturu nedhiziri yemuno yakaramba ichikwira, kunyanya nekuda kwekukwira kwemitengo yemafuta asina kuchekwa, purofiti yakakwira yekutengeswa kunze kwenyika, musika unotarisirwa kuwedzera huwandu hwezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, uye "goridhe mapfumbamwe esirivha gumi" riri kuuya, musika unofanirwa kuita mabasa ekuchengetedza zvinhu pachine nguva, uye mitengo yekutanga yedhiziri yakaderera, uye kufarira kushanda kwemusika kwakakwira zvichienzaniswa nepeturu. Mitengo yekutengesa inotarisirwa kukwira vhiki rinouya, uye nhau dzemafuta asina kuchekwa dzichiri kutsigirwa zvakanyanya, zvinotarisirwa kuti nemutengo wekutengesa kunze kwenyika waburitswa, musika wepeturu nedhiziri ungaramba uchikwira.