Kubva mugore ra2022, hunhu hwemwaka wemafuta epeturu nedhiziri uri kuramba uchiderera. Musika wekuti "kukwira kupfuura zvaitarisirwa, kudonha pasi pechokwadi" wakajairika, kunyanya muna 2023, apo zviitiko zvehutano hweveruzhinji hazvina simba guru pamusika, chimiro ichi chinonyanya kuoneka. Mafambiro emusika haasi maererano nekadhi remazuva ano, tobva tafanotaura musika uye kuti totangira papi?

Mafambiro emusika asina kujairika muchikamu chechitatu chegore rino uye muchikamu chechina chemusika akaoneka zvakajeka, tichitarisa kumashure kuchikamu chechitatu chegore, Chikunguru chaive mwaka wekushanda kwedhiziri, mitengo yedhiziri yeShandong yaingoda kuva nemhedzisiro yakaipa yakambodzikira kusvika pa6700 yuan/tani, asi pakati paChikunguru nekuburitswa kwenguva pfupi kwezvinhu zvakawanda, kuwedzera kwepfungwa dzemusika uye tarisiro yemwaka wepamusoro-soro zvichikonzerwa nemitengo yakakwira zvakanyanya, Uye kuwedzera kwemitengo kwakagara kwemwedzi mumwe nehafu. Mushure mekupinda mumwaka wepamusoro-soro we "gold nine silver ten", mutengo wakadzikira zvakanyanya, kubva pa8050 yuan/tani munaGunyana kusvika pa7350 yuan/tani yazvino, huwandu hwe700 yuan/tani.

Pasi pemusika usingawanzoitiki, tinofanira kutarisa papi pakufanotaura nezvemusika weramangwana? Zvinhu zvinokosha? Mamiriro epfungwa here? Kana nhau dzemusika? Hazvienderane nematanho akasiyana. Padanho rino, kudzidza nezvepfungwa dzemusika uye nhau dzemusika kwakakosha kupfuura kudzidza nezvezvinhu zvinokosha.

Kubva pamaonero emusika aripo iye zvino, zvinhu zvakakosha hazvina kukosha zvakanyanya. Chekutanga ndechekuti mashoko akanaka ekudzikira kwekugadzirwa kwemafuta nedhiziri mufekitori yekutanga akaongororwa pachine nguva, uye musika ungadai wakashandisa nhau iyi kukurudzira mafungu, asi mutengo wemafuta asina kucheneswa hauna kudzikira zvachose, zvichidzima moto. Chechipiri ndechekuti mukushaikwa kwemusika, musika wepeturu nedhiziri wakawedzerwa, uye kugona kwekugadzira kwemuchadenga nemhepo muChina kwasvika mabhiriyoni etani pagore, uye kudzikiswa kwekugadzirwa kwe10%-20% hakuzokonzere kushomeka kwemusika. Naizvozvo, muchikamu chino chemusika, kukanganisa kukuru pamusika kwadzikira, uye pachinzvimbo, musika hauna tariro, izvo zviri pachena mushure mekunge mafuta asina kucheneswa adzikira zvakanyanya asi peturu nedhiziri hazvina kutevera, uye peturu nedhiziri hazvina kutevera nenguva, izvo zvawedzera kusava netariro kweindasitiri, zvichivhura mukana wekuti mutengo udzike zvakare.

Kana musika wava kunonoka kukwira, zvinoenderana nezvinhu zviviri, chekutanga, kumirira kuti mitengo yemafuta asina kuchekwa iderere. Parizvino, zvinhu zvakakosha zvemafuta asina kuchekwa zviri kudzikira, uye mafuta asina kuchekwa anofanira kutarisa njodzi yekudzika kwekuwedzera kwekuwedzera kwekuwedzera uku mushure maChikunguru. Uye mhedzisiro yemusangano wevemakurukota veOPEC+ musi wa26 Mbudzi, kuwedzerwa kwenguva yekupedzisira kana kudzikiswa kudiki kwekugadzirwa kunogona kuramba kuchitsigira kusagadzikana kwakanyanya kwemitengo yemafuta, asi kureba kwakakwana kwakaganhurirwa, pane zvinopesana, kana ikatanga kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma kugadzirwa kuti itsigire kugadzirwa, mafuta asina kuchekwa anogona kutarisana nenjodzi huru yekuderera. Muchidimbu, njodzi yakaipa yemafuta asina kuchekwa haisati yaburitswa. Chechipiri, mirira kuti manzwiro emusika agare. Kana mitengo yepeturu nedhiziri ikaramba ichidzikira, musiyano uripo pakati pepeturu nedhiziri nemafuta asina kuchekwa wakaderera zvakare, kushaya tariro mumusika kunogona kuburitswa, kuitira kugadzirira mafungu anotevera emusika, uye mamiriro aripo anogona kuva nemamiriro enguva refu ekusimudzira. Ini pachangu, zvinotarisirwa kuti musika unotevera uchave pakati paZvita, uye musika uyu uchawedzerwa nekuwanda kwezvinhu usati wapera kudzikira kwemitengo kwemwedzi inopfuura miviri.