Kutanga kubva 2022, maitiro eiyo off-peak mwaka wepeturu nedhiziri ari kuita zvishoma. Musika we "kukwira pamusoro pezvinotarisirwa, kuwira pasi pechokwadi" wakajairika, kunyanya muna 2023, apo zviitiko zvehutano hweveruzhinji zvine zvishoma pamusika, chimiro ichi chinonyanya kuoneka. Maitiro emusika haasi maererano nekadhi yakajairika, uye isu tinofanotaura musika uye kupi kutanga?

Mamiriro emusika asina kujairika muchikamu chechitatu chegore rino uye chikamu chechina chemusika chakaratidza zvakajeka, tichitarisa kumashure kuchikamu chechitatu, Chikunguru yaive mwaka wekunze-mwaka wedhiziri, Shandong mitengo yedhiziri nekungoda kuve isina kunaka kana yadonha. 6700 yuan/ton, asi pakati paChikunguru nenguva pfupi yakafanira kuendeswa kwehuwandu hukuru hwezvinhu, misika yemafungiro emusika uye tarisiro yepamusoro yemwaka inotungamirwa nemitengo yakakwira munzira yese, Uye kuwedzera kwemutengo kwakagara kweinosvika imwe nehafu. mwedzi. Mushure mekupinda mumwaka wepamusoro wepamusoro we "goridhe mapfumbamwe esirivha gumi", mutengo wakadonha nzira yese, kubva pa8050 yuan/ton munaGunyana kusvika pazvino 7350 yuan/ton, huwandu hwe700 yuan/ton.

Pasi pemusika usina kujairika, kubva papi maonero atinofanira kuisa pfungwa pakufanotaura nezvemusika wemangwana? Zvinokosha here? Chimiro chepfungwa? Kana kuti nhau dzemusika? Hazvienderani kumatanho akasiyana. Panguva ino, kudzidza kwemusika kufunga uye nhau dzemusika kwakakosha kupfuura kudzidza kwezvakakosha.

Kubva pamaonero emusika wazvino, zvakakosha zvave zvisinganyanyi kukosha. Chekutanga ndechekuti nhau dzakanaka dzekudzikiswa kwemafuta nedhiziri mukucheneswa kwekutanga kwakagayiwa pachine nguva, uye musika ungadai wakashandisa nhau idzi kunyudza wave, asi mutengo wemafuta asina kudonha hauna kudonha munzira yese, kudzima moto. Chechipiri ndechekuti mune inertia yeindasitiri yemusika, musika wepeturu nedhiziri wakawandirwa, uye ikozvino dhizaini yedhizaini yeChina yemhepo uye vacuum yasvika bhiriyoni imwe yematani / gore, uye kugadzirwa kwe10% -20% kuchaita. kwete kukonzera musika wakaoma. Naizvozvo, mune ino nhanho yemusika, iyo yekutanga kukanganisa pamusika yakaderedzwa, uye pachinzvimbo, musika hauna tariro, zvinova pachena mushure mekunge mafuta asina kuchena adonha zvakanyanya asi peturu nedhiziri hazvina kutevera, uye peturu nedhiziri hazvina kutevera pasi nekufamba kwenguva, izvo zvakawedzera kusava netariro kweindasitiri, kuvhura nzvimbo yekuti mutengo udzike zvakare.

Kana musika wanonoka kudzoka, zvinoenderana nezvinhu zviviri, chekutanga, mirira kuti mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena iwire munzvimbo. Parizvino, izvo zvese zvakakosha zvemafuta asina kuchena zviri kuderera, uye crude oil plate inofanirwa kutarisisa kune njodzi yekuwedzera kudzika kugadziridzwa kweiyi mafungu ekubudirira mushure meChikunguru. Uye mhedzisiro yemusangano we OPEC + wemakurukota musi waNovember 26, kuwedzerwa kweiyo nguva yekupedzisira kana kuchekwa kwekugadzira kudiki kunogona kuramba kuchitsigira kuderera kwemitengo yemafuta, asi kureba kwakakwana kunogumira, pane zvinopesana, kana ikatanga kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma. kugadzirwa kubhadharira kugadzirwa, mafuta asina kuchena anogona kutarisana nedanho rakakura renjodzi. Muchidimbu, njodzi yakaipa yemafuta asina kuchena haina kuburitswa. Chechipiri, mirira manzwiro emusika kuti agadzirise. Kana peturu nemitengo yedhiziri ichiramba ichidonha, mukaha pakati pepeturu nedhiziri nemafuta asina kukwasha kuparuka zvakare wakawira kune yakaderera mwero, musika wepessimism unogona kuburitswa, kuitira kugadzirira. iyo inotevera mafungu emusika, uye manzwiro ekubika munzvimbo anogona kuve nemamiriro enguva refu yekusundira kumusoro. Iwe pachako, zvinotarisirwa kuti mhepo inotevera yemusika ichave yakapoteredza pakati paDecember, uye iyi wave yemusika ichasimudzirwa nekuchengetwa kwezvinhu kusati kwapera kuderera kwakashata kwemwedzi inopfuura miviri.