Gore ra2023 rasvika pakupera kwegore, tichitarisa kumashure gore rino, musika wepasi rose wemafuta asina kucheneswa mukuderedza kugadzirwa kweOPEC+ uye kusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika kunogona kutsanangurwa sekusanzwisisika, kukwira nekudzika.

1. Kuongororwa kwemafambiro emitengo yemusika wemafuta asina kucheneswa pasi rose muna 2023

Gore rino, mafuta asina kuchena pasi rose (Brent futures) ese akaratidza kudzikira, asi pakati pemutengo wegravity yachinja zvakanyanya. Kubva muna Gumiguru 31, avhareji yemutengo we2023 Brent crude oil futures yaive 82.66 US dollars/barrel, yakaderera ne16.58% kubva pamutengo wepakati wegore rapfuura. Mafambiro emitengo yemafuta asina kuchena pasi rose gore rino anoratidza hunhu hwekuti "pakati pegravity yadzikira, yekare yakaderera uye yakakwira", uye kushushikana kwakasiyana-siyana kwehupfumi senge dambudziko remabhanga muEurope neUnited States kwakabuda pasi pekukwira kwemubereko muhafu yekutanga yegore, zvichikonzera kudzikira kwemitengo yemafuta, kusvika pa16%. Mushure mekupinda muhafu yechipiri yegore, nekuda kwekutsigirwa kwenyika dzakawanda dzinogadzira mafuta dzakadai sekudzikiswa kwekugadzirwa kweOPEC+, zvinhu zvakakosha zvakatanga kuoneka, kudzikiswa kwekugadzirwa kweOPEC+ kwakapfuura 2.6 miriyoni yemabara pazuva, zvakaenzana ne2.7% yekugadzirwa kwemafuta asina kucheneswa pasi rose, zvichiita kuti mitengo yemafuta ikwire neanenge 20%, Brent crude oil futures yakadzokera zvakare padanho repamusoro pamusoro pe$80 pabara.

Mutengo weBrent wegore ra2023 uri $71.84- $96.55 / BBL, nepoindi yepamusoro ichiitika musi wa27 Gunyana uye yakaderera musi wa12 Chikumi. $70- $90 pabhareri ndiyo nzvimbo huru yekushanda kweBrent crude oil futures muna 2023. Kubva muna Gumiguru 31, mitengo yeWTI neBrent crude oil futures yakaderera ne $12.66 / bareri uye $9.14 / bareri zvichiteerana kubva pamutengo wepamusoro wegore.

Mushure mekupinda muna Gumiguru, nekuda kwekutanga kwehondo pakati pePalestine neIsrael, mitengo yemafuta asina kuchekwa pasi rose yakakwira zvakanyanya pasi pemutengo wepamusoro wengozi dzezvematongerwo enyika, asi nekusawirirana kusina kukanganisa kugadzirwa kwenyika huru dzinogadzira mafuta, njodzi dzekupa mafuta dzakaderera, uye OPEC neUnited States dzakawedzera kugadzirwa kwemafuta asina kuchekwa, mitengo yemafuta yakaderera pakarepo. Kunyanya, kusawirirana kwakatanga musi wa7 Gumiguru, uye kubva muna 19 Gumiguru, Brent crude oil futures yakakwira nemadhora mana nemakumi maviri nematatu ($4.23) / barrel. Kubva muna 31 Gumiguru, Brent crude oil futures yaive $87.41 / barrel, yakaderera nemadhora mana nemakumi mapfumbamwe nemapfumbamwe ($4.97) / barrel kubva muna 19 Gumiguru, zvichibvisa zvese zvakawanikwa kubva pakurwisana kweIsrael nePalestine.

II. Kuongororwa kwezvinhu zvikuru zvinopesvedzera musika wepasi rose wemafuta asina kucheneswa muna 2023

Muna 2023, simba rehupfumi hwenyika uye rezvematongerwo enyika pamitengo yemafuta asina kucheneswa rakawedzera. Kukanganiswa kwehupfumi hwenyika pamafuta asina kucheneswa kwakanyanya kudivi rekuda. Muna Kurume gore rino, dambudziko remabhanga muEurope neUnited States rakakwira, mashoko eFederal Reserve akaunzwa zvakanyanya muna Kubvumbi, njodzi yechikwereti muUnited States yakaiswa pasi pekumanikidzwa muna Chivabvu, uye mamiriro epamusoro emubereko akakonzerwa nekukwira kwemubereko muna Chikumi akaremedza hupfumi, uye kushaya simba uye manzwiro ekuderera padanho rehupfumi zvakadzvinyirira zvakananga mutengo wemafuta epasi rose kubva munaKurume kusvika Chikumi. Yave zvakare chinhu chikuru chisina kunaka chekuti mitengo yemafuta epasi rose haigone kukwira muhafu yekutanga yegore. Munyaya dzezvematongerwo enyika, kutanga kwehondo yeIsrael nePalestine musi wa7 Gumiguru, njodzi yezvematongerwo enyika yakawedzera zvakare, uye mutengo wemafuta epasi rose wakadzokera pakakwirira pedyo nemadhora makumi mapfumbamwe pabhareri pasi pekutsigira izvi, asi nekutarisazve mhedzisiro chaiyo yechiitiko ichi, kunetseka nezvengozi dzekugovera kwakadzikira, uye mitengo yemafuta asina kucheneswa yakadzika.

Parizvino, maererano nezvinhu zvikuru zvinopesvedzera, zvinogona kupfupikiswa sezvinhu zvinotevera: kana gakava reIsrael nePalestine richakanganisa kugadzirwa kwevagadziri vemafuta makuru, kuwedzerwa kwekudzikiswa kwekugadzirwa kweOPEC+ kusvika pakupera kwegore, kuderedzwa kwezvirango zvakatemerwa Venezuela neUnited States, kukwira kwekugadzirwa kwemafuta asina kucheneswa eUS kusvika padanho repamusoro mugore, kufambira mberi kwe inflation muEurope neUnited States, kushanda chaiko kwezvinodiwa zveAsia, kuwedzera kwekugadzirwa kweIran uye kuchinja kwemaonero evatengesi.

Chii chiri kukonzera kusagadzikana kwemusika wemafuta asina kucheneswa pasi rose muna 2023? Pasi pemamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika, musika wemafuta asina kucheneswa uchaenda kupi? Musi wa3 Mbudzi, 15:00-15:45, Longzhong Information ichatanga nhepfenyuro yemusika wegore negore muna 2023, iyo ichakupa dudziro yakadzama yemutengo wemafuta, nzvimbo dzinopisa dzehupfumi, zvinhu zvakakosha zvekupa nekudiwa uye kufanotaura kwemitengo yemafuta mune ramangwana, kufanotaura mamiriro emusika muna 2024 pachine nguva, uye kubatsira kuronga kwemakambani!