Musi wa17 Mbudzi, 2020, chiyero chepakati cheRMB exchange rate mumusika wemari yekunze pakati pemabhangi chaive: 1 US dollar kusvika RMB 6.5762, kuwedzera kwe286 basis points kubva pazuva rekutengeserana rapfuura, kusvika panguva ye6.5 yuan. Pamusoro pezvo, mitengo yekutsinhana kweRMB onshore uye offshore uchienzaniswa neUS dollar yakakwira kusvika panguva ye6.5 yuan.

Meseji iyi haina kutumirwa nezuro nekuti mukana we6.5 unopfuurawo. Pasi pedenda iri, hupfumi hweChina hwakasimba, uye zvine chokwadi kuti RMB icharamba ichisimba.

Tumira mhinduro kubva kunyanzvi:

Ko mwero wekutsinhana mari weRMB uchienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica uchakwira here kusvika panguva ye6.5?

Mashoko emhuri

Zvinotarisirwa kuti maitiro ekuwedzera kweRMB haazochinje, asi mwero wekuwedzera kweRMB uchadzikira.

Sekureva kwenhau dzakaburitswa neChina Foreign Exchange Trading Center: Musi wa17 Mbudzi, chiyero chepakati cheRMB exchange rate mumusika weinter-bank foreign exchange market chaive 1 US dollar kusvika RMB 6.5762, kuwedzera kwe286 basis points kubva pazuva rekutengeserana rapfuura kusvika ku6.5 yuan era. Pamusoro pezvo, mitengo yekutsinhana kweRMB onshore neoffshore uchienzaniswa neUS dollar yakwira kusvika ku6.5 yuan era. Tevere, RMB exchange rate icharamba ichikwira here?

Mwero wekutsinhana kwemari yeRenminbi wakwira kusvika ku6.5 era, uye inofanira kunge iri mukana mukuru wekuti zvinhu zvirambe zvichikwira padanho rinotevera. Pane zvikonzero zvina.

Chekutanga, mwero wekutengeswa kweRMB exchange rate wakawedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, uye zvinhu zvinokonzereswa nekupindira kwevanhu nebazi rezvekunze rebhangi guru zvakabviswa. Pakupera kwaGumiguru gore rino, secretariat yemusika wekunze wekuzvidzora pamusika wemari yekunze yakazivisa kuti bhangi re quotation reRMB parity rate yepakati nedhora reUS, zvichibva pakutonga kwaro pahwaro hwehupfumi nemamiriro emusika, rakatora danho rekutora danho rekugadzirisa "inverse" mumuenzaniso wepakati weRMB parity price weUS. Cycle factor "yapera kushandiswa. Izvi zvinoreva kuti danho rakakosha rakatorwa mukushambadzira kweRMB exchange rate. Mune ramangwana, mukana wekuchinja-chinja kweRMB exchange rate uchawedzera. Hapana zvirambidzo zvekugadzira zvekuenderera mberi kweRMB. Izvi zvinogadzira mamiriro akanaka ekuti RMB irambe ichikwira.

Chechipiri, China yakabvisa dambudziko rakaipa rechirwere chitsva chekorona, uye kukura kwayo kwehupfumi hakuna kupfuura pasi rose. Kusiyana neizvi, kupora kwehupfumi kwenyika dzeEurope neAmerica kuri kunonoka, kunyanya mamiriro ezvinhu muUnited States achiri akaoma, izvo zvinoita kuti dhora rirambe richienderera mberi. Kufamba nenzira isina simba. Zviri pachena kuti, nekuda kwerutsigiro rweChina rwehupfumi, mwero wekutsinhana kwemari yeRMB ucharamba uchikwira.

Chechitatu, chimwe chinhu chakaita basa mukukwidza mwero wekutsinhana kwemari yeRenminbi imusangano wakarongwa pamwe chete neCentral Bank neState-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission musi wa12 Mbudzi pamusoro pedingindira rekuti "kufambisa kutengeserana nekudyara mari nemabhizinesi anoshandisa Renminbi mhiri kwemiganhu". Zviratidzo zvakanaka: Bhangi guru rakataura kuti rakabatana kugadzira "Chiziviso pamusoro peKuwedzera Kugadzirisa Marongero eRMB eMhiri kwemiganhu kuti atsigire Kugadzikana kweKutengeserana Kwekunze neKudyara Mari kweMhiri kweMigodhi" neDevelopment and Reform Commission, Ministry of Commerce, neSASAC. Magwaro emutemo achaburitswa munguva pfupi iri kutevera. Izvi zvinoreva kuti musika wemari wenyika yangu uchavhurwa zvakare kune dzimwe nyika, uye musika weRMB wemhiri kwemakungwa uchasimudzirwawo nesimba. Ichakurudzirawo kuvhurwa kwemusika wemari weRMB wemhiri kwemakungwa uye kuwedzera kugona nekudzika kwemusika wemari weRMB wemhiri kwemakungwa. Kunyanya, icharamba ichitevedzera sarudzo dzemakambani dzinotungamirwa nemusika uye dzakazvimirira, icharamba ichivandudza mamiriro emutemo ekushandiswa kweRMB mhiri kwemiganhu, uye kuvandudza kushanda kweRMB miganhu nekunze kwemakungwa. Parizvino, zvichikonzerwa nekudiwa kwemusika, kushandiswa kwerenminbi pasi rose kwafambira mberi zvikuru. Renminbi yatova mari yechipiri pakukura muChina yekubhadhara miganhu yenyika. Mari dzinowanikwa pamiganhu yenyika uye kubhadhara kwerenminbi zvinodarika chikamu chimwe muzvitatu chemari dzinowanikwa pamiganhu yenyika dzeChina nemari dzemuno nedzekunze kwenyika. RMB yakabatana nebhasikiti remari reSDR uye yave mari yechishanu pakukura mukubhadhara pasi rose uye mari yepamutemo yekuchengetera mari yekunze kwenyika.

Chechina, uye chinonyanya kukosha, musi wa15 Mbudzi, nyika gumi dzeASEAN nenyika gumi neshanu dzinosanganisira China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, neNew Zealand dzakasaina RCEP zviri pamutemo, zvichiratidza kuguma kwechibvumirano chikuru chekutengeserana kwemahara pasi rose. Izvi hazvingosimudziri chete kuvakwa kweASEAN Economic Community, asi zvichawedzerawo simba idzva mukukura kwedunhu nekubudirira, uye zvichave injini yakakosha yekukura kwepasi rose. Kunyanya, China, senyika yechipiri pakukura kwehupfumi pasi rose, pasina mubvunzo ichava musimboti weRCEP, iyo ichava nemhedzisiro yakasimba pakuchinjana kwehupfumi nekutengeserana kwenyika dzeRCEP uye ichibatsira nyika dziri kutora chikamu. Panguva imwe chete, inobvumirawo RMB kutamba basa rakakosha mukugadziriswa kwekutengeserana uye kubhadhara kwenyika dziri kutora chikamu cheRCEP, izvo zvichaunza mabhenefiti akawanda mukusimudzira kuwedzera kwekutengeserana kweChina kwekunze nekutengesa kunze kwenyika, kukwezva nyika dzeRCEP kuti dzidyare mari muChina, uye kuwedzera kudiwa kweRMB kubva kunyika dzeRCEP. Mhedzisiro iyi ichapawo kusimudzira kwakati kuti kuenderera mberi kwekuwedzera kweRMB exchange rate.

Muchidimbu, kunyangwe mwero wekutsinhana kwemari yeRenminbi wapinda munguva ye6.5, tichifunga nezvemikana yekutengeserana kwekunze nekutengesa kunze kwenyika pamwe nepfungwa dzemitemo, pachine mukana wekutsinhana kwemari yeRenminbi. Zvinotarisirwa kuti mwero wekutsinhana kwemari yeRenminbi hauzochinje, asi mwero wekutsinhana kwemari yeRenminbi uchadzikira; kunyanya denda repasi rose. Zvichienderana nepfungwa yekudzoserwa kwemari uye njodzi isingadziki, zvinotarisirwa kuti RMB icharamba iine mwero wakasimba uye wakasimba ichitsigirwa nezvakanakira zvayo zvikuru.